This is often the case. I will give some examples later, but often when we remember events, we tend to tell ourselves a story that makes sense. We generalize so much, we simplify so much, that we remove chance, there is no more chance. Everything seems to make sense, everything seems to follow a logical sequence and there is a big risk in fact of reasoning like that, it is that we interpret badly.
Misinterpreting the past and our history, because we told ourselves a simplified story, we created a story where in fact there were quite a few random events, well, that can push us to make bad decisions for the future, to not anticipate future risks well.
I'm just going to give you a quick example so you can understand what I mean by induction and telling yourself stories. I watch a lot of testimonial videos, I watch a lot of testimonial videos on YouTube, I read a lot of biographies, and often, when we interview entrepreneurs or famous people, well, we have the impression that their success was actually clear from the beginning. They tell us their story.
Well yes, I was a kid and I was in the street, I played football every day and I did this, I did that", he will tell you a story that seems to follow a logical sequence.
And following this logical sequence, we are uk whatsapp number data not talking about the somewhat random events, the luck that was there, having had good timing. We will just retain some generalities, that is to say an idea for an entrepreneur, we will say: "Oh well Steve Jobs, he had the fantastic idea of creating the iPhone, he had the fantastic idea of creating simple, beautiful products that work well, and of using marketing to make them icons". And so we base our success on this idea.
Or, we'll look at a football player like Cristiano Ronaldo, we'll say: "Yes, but that's his regular job. He did 500 sit-ups every day." I don't know, legend has it that he does a lot of sit-ups every day.
And that's all we're going to remember. We're not going to talk about how lucky Cristiano Ronaldo was to perhaps one day meet a good person who allowed him to become known. We're not going to think about Steve Jobs who was lucky at one point to meet someone who would technically implement his ideas, etc.
You see, that's the problem with induction and telling ourselves stories, it's that we have the impression that chance doesn't exist, that all things follow a logical sequence, when that's not the case at all.