Returning to the February Cerved Industry Forecast study which estimates the forecasts for the 2024-26 sectors, Italian companies, in the current year and especially in 2026, should record a slight increase in turnover at constant prices thanks to the recovery of foreign demand , after the decline reported in 2024 (-0.9%) due to the weakness of domestic consumption and the drop in exports .
The recovery is driven by exports, which mom database will allow a recovery in industrial production . Falling interest rates, high employment and stabilizing inflation should strengthen household incomes and boost domestic consumption.
The construction sector, after the decline recorded (-2%) due to the exhaustion of the tax bonus season , should benefit from the boost coming from the segment of public works related to the . The real estate market appears to be recovering thanks to the drop in rates and the restart of mortgages.
However, there remains strong uncertainty deriving from the trade policy of the United States towards Europe , which, with the duties announced for April 2025, could determine a contraction in turnover and especially in margins, in sectors such as automotive, mechanical engineering and pharmaceuticals.